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View Full Version : Contest time!! How many swimmers for Clovis....



Its a slow show
April 9th, 2009, 01:02 PM
I say 1700

pwb
April 9th, 2009, 01:02 PM
1253

pwolf66
April 9th, 2009, 01:05 PM
1456

Karen Duggan
April 9th, 2009, 01:07 PM
Being CLOVIS, not exactly Disneyland, I say maybe 1100.

My guess is based on the 800 I was told about the other day, the fact I didn't enter until yesterday, and that Jim said they get a huge amount of entries the last day.

swimmj
April 9th, 2009, 01:16 PM
1226. I'm afraid I know many folks who went last year to SCY nats and are not going this year.

knelson
April 9th, 2009, 01:19 PM
1,569

mctrusty
April 9th, 2009, 01:33 PM
1056

I wanted to say 2^10, but that's what came out.

Its a slow show
April 9th, 2009, 01:34 PM
If PMS can draw 800 to 900 for their regionals its hard to believe that Clovis won't have a pretty solid turn out. LA is close, Bay area, Oregon folks, Arizona Nevada on and on. I think we have had a few Nationals were the last 24 hours generated 30 to 40% of the total turn-out. Obviously we will know soon enough

Midas
April 9th, 2009, 02:23 PM
How many attended last year? That looked like a banner year given the results (lots of fast swimmers, at least in my age group).

Karen Duggan
April 9th, 2009, 04:13 PM
Ahh, but as of yesterday Pacific only had 500 entered in our Pacific Champs. Numbers are way down. Apparently, there was a computer problem (people couldn't get on to enter last night) so they extended the deadline to tonight at midnight. I'll let you know what our final numbers are if I hear.

meldyck
April 9th, 2009, 04:33 PM
Seventy-five, tops.

orca1946
April 9th, 2009, 04:36 PM
1450:applaud:

The Fortress
April 9th, 2009, 07:55 PM
1199.

I'd be curious to see what percentage are from the East Coast. I'm thinking it may be a west coast dominated meet, as it seems many east coasters are focused on their Zones meets or Y Nats.

AnnG
April 9th, 2009, 08:24 PM
1842

Donna
April 10th, 2009, 12:03 PM
1350

SwimTotoSwim
April 10th, 2009, 12:07 PM
1899

Jazz Hands
April 10th, 2009, 12:19 PM
One dollar, Drew.

jim clemmons
April 10th, 2009, 12:51 PM
1650

Rykno
April 10th, 2009, 12:54 PM
1269

thewookiee
April 10th, 2009, 01:09 PM
1199.

.

I am going to pull a Price Is Right move on you...

1200

tjrpatt
April 10th, 2009, 01:24 PM
1199.

I'd be curious to see what percentage are from the East Coast. I'm thinking it may be a west coast dominated meet, as it seems many east coasters are focused on their Zones meets or Y Nats.

There are a few guys from my training group going. But, I think that everyone else in the Delaware Valley are going to Zones, Y Nats, or if it isn't in Philly area, they just won't go.

Damage Inc
April 10th, 2009, 03:41 PM
I swim at the Clovis North Complex and heard from one of our directors this morning that the count came in at just shy of 1600.
I think Ken guessed closest (unofficial of course)

Glider
April 10th, 2009, 03:51 PM
1,492

Karen Duggan
April 10th, 2009, 04:00 PM
Dropping the 6th event then?
Please? :lmao:

tjrpatt
April 10th, 2009, 04:51 PM
wow, 1600.

pwolf66
April 11th, 2009, 07:51 PM
Dropping the 6th event then?
Please? :lmao:

1600 should OK with 6th events. Sorry

joy
April 12th, 2009, 12:19 AM
Jim just said between 1580 & 1590. Might be a little less or a little more.
Whose the WINNER? Looks like 3 people are very close. :applaud:

knelson
April 12th, 2009, 12:43 AM
Whose the WINNER? Looks like 3 people are very close. :applaud:

Three people? I'd say I'm the clear cut winner. What's my prize?

mctrusty
April 12th, 2009, 09:33 AM
Three people? I'd say I'm the clear cut winner. What's my prize?

An "Attaboy".

jroddin
April 14th, 2009, 11:17 AM
Here are the counts from 1990 to date:

YEAR SC
1990 1592
1991 1529
1992 1505
1993 2055
1994 1912
1995 1992
1996 2048
1997 1438
1998 1738
1999 2060
2000 1390
2001 1850
2002 1103
2003 1922
2004 1564
2005 1620
2006 1276
2007 1456
2008 1865

The avg above is 1680 and the mean is 1620 (thank you, Excel). Even though past results are no indicator of future results, I'd say this meet is almost exactly as it would be predicted if you only looked at the numbers model.

Chris Stevenson
April 14th, 2009, 12:30 PM
Here are the counts from 1990 to date:

YEAR SC
1990 1592
1991 1529
1992 1505
1993 2055
1994 1912
1995 1992
1996 2048
1997 1438
1998 1738
1999 2060
2000 1390
2001 1850
2002 1103
2003 1922
2004 1564
2005 1620
2006 1276
2007 1456
2008 1865

The avg above is 1680 and the mean is 1620 (thank you, Excel). Even though past results are no indicator of future results, I'd say this meet is almost exactly as it would be predicted if you only looked at the numbers model.

Hindsight is pretty great, huh? Where were you a week ago? :)

1993-1996 was quite a run. Locations: Santa Clara, Tempe, Ft Lauderdale, Cupertino. Two subsequent meets in Santa Clara (1999, 2001) and one in Tempe (2003) were also well attended. And of course Austin last year.

I'll go on record now as predicting that Atlanta in 2010 will be the biggest ever.

SLOmmafan
April 14th, 2009, 12:32 PM
Here are the counts from 1990 to date:

YEAR SC
1990 1592
1991 1529
1992 1505
1993 2055
1994 1912
1995 1992
1996 2048
1997 1438
1998 1738
1999 2060
2000 1390
2001 1850
2002 1103
2003 1922
2004 1564
2005 1620
2006 1276
2007 1456
2008 1865

The avg above is 1680 and the mean is 1620 (thank you, Excel). Even though past results are no indicator of future results, I'd say this meet is almost exactly as it would be predicted if you only looked at the numbers model.


I wonder if their is any further pattern to this? Do east coast or west coast location get better turn outs? Or do middle country states like Texas get the best overall showing? Assuming Clovis in at least 1500+ swimmers, it would be a very good turn out for a location that is not exactly thrilling as a destination (nothing against the area, I grew up there!!).

pwb
April 14th, 2009, 03:01 PM
I'll go on record now as predicting that Atlanta in 2010 will be the biggest ever.

Is it the facility that was used for the '96 Olympics? Indoors?

jim clemmons
April 14th, 2009, 03:08 PM
Is it the facility that was used for the '96 Olympics? Indoors?

Yes.

jim clemmons
April 14th, 2009, 03:24 PM
Here are the counts from 1990 to date:

YEAR SC
1990 1592
1991 1529
1992 1505
1993 2055 Santa Clara CA
1994 1912 Tempe AZ
1995 1992 Ft. Lauderdale FL
1996 2048 Cupertino CA
1997 1438
1998 1738
1999 2060
2000 1390 Indianapolis IN
2001 1850 Santa Clara CA
2002 1103 Hawaii (when's the next?)
2003 1922 Tempe AZ
2004 1564 Indianapolis IN
2005 1620 Ft. Lauderdale FL
2006 1276 Coral Springs FL (Worlds@Stanford in '06)
2007 1456 Seattle WA
2008 1865 Austin TX

The avg above is 1680 and the mean is 1620 (thank you, Excel). Even though past results are no indicator of future results, I'd say this meet is almost exactly as it would be predicted if you only looked at the numbers model.

SLOdude,

I placed some locations. Hawaii, maybe one of the top "venues" for a meet, had the smallest turnout and it wasn't even that expensive "back then". The next smallest, Coral Springs, was a year after FL hosted one other and was maybe impacted by Worlds being held in the US that same year? If we're looking for patterns, I'm thinking locale (but I don't know if east vs. west vs. middle has anything to do with it) and other events occuring near the same time may have more of an impact.

Leonard Jansen
April 14th, 2009, 04:20 PM
42.

The answer to Life, the Universe and Everything is always 42.

-LBJ

swimmieAvsFan
April 14th, 2009, 04:54 PM
42.

The answer to Life, the Universe and Everything is always 42.

-LBJ

:applaud:
i was hoping someone would mention 42...
shoulda known it would be you, LBJ :)