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  1. Request predictions! How low will USMS records go by 2070?

    by , August 8th, 2020 at 01:56 PM (Vlog the Inhaler, or The Occasional Video Blog Musings of Jim Thornton)
    It's been a while since I have posted anything on my blog, and I suspect whatever readership I might have once had has withered away to practically nothing.

    But for you few putative (or imaginary) stalwarts who have faithfully awaited a new post in the once immensely popular Vlog the Inhaler blog, I humbly beseech your help.

    I am writing a story for Swimmer magazine on where USMS records are likely to be 50 years from now.

    There are a total of 1800+ individual pool records possible, so to narrow things down, I'm concentrating on two events in two age groups: the 100 yards free and the 400 yard IM in age groups 45-49 and 65-69.


    The current records here are pretty amazing, and the curves showing the trajectories since USMS began 50 years ago suggest there is likely plenty of room to drop.

    If you could send me your email address to jamesthornton1@comcast.net , I will send you my little prediction form plus graphs of the record trends. Thanks in advance.

    Alternatively, you could just post your predictions here. In any event, I need to have my story in by the 15th, so please act with some alacrity! Again, thanks so much in advance.

    PS if you could include any rationale
    behind your predictions (mathematical analysis, guess work, gut feeling, whatever) that would be fantastic!

    Note: current records and record holders are in red below.





    Name: _______________________


    Your predictions for records by 2070:


    Men 100 Free

    Now:45-49 (N. Grainger: 46.21) 65-69 (R. Abrahams: 49.42)

    By 2070 _________________ _________________




    Women 100 Free

    Now: 45-49 (E. Braun: 51.99) 65-69 (L. Val: 57.88)

    By 2070: _______________ _________________




    Men 400 IM

    Now:45-49 (N. Grainger: 4:01.32) 65-69 (R. Colella: 4:30.64)

    By 2070: ___________ _____________________




    Women 400 IM

    Now: 45-49 (K. Pipes-Nielsen: 4:32.87) 5-69 (L. Val: 5:21.70)

    By 2070: ___________ __________________


    Rationale for your choices:





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  2. Saturday 8/8/2020

    AM SCY Solo @ LRRC "Taper Day #6"/"Pace Day"

    300 swim every 4th 25 head-up scull
    4x75 @ 1:15 "Claire Lockridge" pull
    12x25 FL
    4 @ :40 drill
    4 @ :35 SMOOTH/perfect stroke
    4 @ :30 V.S.

    50 EZ

    6x50 FL @ 200 PACE
    1 @ 1:10 (:30-)
    2 @ 1:00 (:29-, :29)
    1 @ :50 (:29)
    2 @ :40 (:29+, :30-)

    250 EZ FR kick w/ fins + BD

    Total: 1500
    Categories
    Swim Workouts